ON THE PECULIARITIES OF THE STRUCTURE OF THE MULTIDECADE OSCILLATION OF THE WORLD OCEAN
Abstract
One of the most remarkable peculiarities of the modern climate, undoubtedly, should be recognized as the climatic shift observed in the mid-70s of the last century. The reasons for this phenomenon for a long time, despite the activation of climatologists from all over the world, remained a mystery that requires its disclosure. First of all, this was due to the fact that the shift that took place turned out to be unexpected for scientists and was accompanied by rapid qualitative changes in the planetary climate. To date, thanks to the efforts of scientists using the results of rapidly developing numerical modeling, diagnostic calculations and observational data in large hydrophysical experiments in various regions of the World Ocean (WO), an understanding of the role of the ocean factor in the variability of the current climate has developed. It became clear that climatic shifts are an important feature of the internal dynamics of the climate system. The most obvious evidence of intrasystemic processes should be considered the discovered planetary structures in the atmosphere – Global Atmospheric Oscillation (GAO) and in the ocean – Multi-decadal Oscillation of the Heat content in the Ocean (MOHO), which are quasi-synchronous accompanying variations in the modern climate. GAO, its structure and features have been discussed in detail earlier in a number of studies. As for the MOHO, its structure and features are discussed in the proposed work. It is characteristic that the MOHO is located in the layer of the main thermocline (100-600 m). In a quasi-uniform layer (0–100 m), and in a deep layer (600-5500 m), the thermodynamic regime differs from the regime in the layer of the main thermocline. Probably, it is precisely this circumstance that did not allow earlier to draw attention to such an important detail in the structure of the WO thermodynamic variability. The presence of extreme multi-decadal temperature field disturbances at intermediate levels (200, 300, 400, 500, 600 m) should be noted as an important characteristic feature of the oscillation. Large-scale hydrophysical experiments (POLYGON-70, POLYMODE, etc.) made it possible to reveal the vortex structure in the dynamics of WO waters and to discover that the vortices of the open ocean have maxima of kinetic energy precisely in the layer of the main thermocline. This allows us to assume a connection between synoptic eddy activity and MOHO. However, the latter remains to be studied.
References
- Agee, M., 1991: Trends in Cyclone and Anticyclone Frequency and Comparison with Periods of Warming and Cooling over the Northern Hemisphere. J. Climate, 4, 263–267.
- Atlanticheskiy gidrofizicheskiy POLIGON-70 (Atlantic Hydrophysical POLYGON-70). 1974. Otv. red. V.G. Kort and V.S. Samoylenko, Moscow, Nauka, 317 p.
- Atlas POLIMODE. Eds. A.D. Vurisa, V.M. Kamenkovicha, A.S. Monina, 1986: Published by the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts, U.S.A., 370 p.
- Bond, N.A., J.E. Overland, M. Spillane, and P. Stabeno, 2003: Recent shifts in the state of the North Pacific. Geophysical Research. Letters, 30(23), 2183, https://doi.org/10.1029/2003GL018597.
- Byshev, V.I. and I.G. Usychenko, 1995: Teplovoe sostoyanie vod v del’te Gol’fstrima v mae-iyune 1990 g. (Thermal state of waters in the Gulf Stream delta in May-June 1990). Doklady Earth Sciences, 341(4), 542–544.
- Byshev, V.I. and V.G. Snopkov, 1990: On surface temperature field forming in energy-active zone of the North-West Pacific Ocean in context of the MEGAPOLYGON Project. Meteorology and Hydrology, 11, 70–77.
- Byshev, V.I. and V.S. Orlov, 1993: O prirode vnutritermoklinnoj linzy na subpoljarnom fronte v Severnoj Atlantike (On the nature of an intrathermocline lens at the sub-polar front in the Northern Atlantic ocean). Okeanology, 33(3), 340–346, [In Russian].
- Byshev, V.I., 2003: Synoptical and Large-Scale Variability of Ocean and the Atmosphere. Ed. by U.A. Ivanov. Moscow, Nauka, 343 p.
- Byshev, V.I., A.L. Figurkin, and I.M. Anisimov, 2017: Interdecadal Variability in Thermal Structure of Water in the Upper Active Layer in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean. Doklady Earth Sciences, 477, Part 1, 1343–1347.
- Byshev, V.I., M.V. Anisimov, A.V. Gusev, V.M. Gruzinov, and A.N. Sidorova, 2020: On the multi-decadal oscillation of the heat content of the World ocean. Journal of Oceanological Research, 48(3), 76–95, https://doi.org/10.29006/1564-2291.JOR-2020.48(3).5.
- Byshev, V.I., V.G. Neiman and Yu.A. Romanov, 2016: Klimaticheskie ritmy teplovogo rezhima Mirovogo okeana (Climate rhythms of the thermal regime of the World Ocean). Priroda, 8, 26–33.
- Byshev, V.I., V.G. Neiman, and Yu.A. Romanov, 2005: Discrepancy of global climate change over continents and oceans. Doklady Earth Sciences, 400(1), 77–83.
- Byshev, V.I., V.G. Neiman, and Yu.A. Romanov, 2006: On the essential differences between the large-scale variations of the surface temperature over the oceans and continents. Oceanology, 46(2), 147–158.
- Byshev, V.I., V.G. Neiman, M.V. Anisimov, A.V. Gusev, and I.V. Serykh, A.N. Sidorova, A.L. Figurkin, and I.M. Anisimov, 2017: Multi-decadal oscillations of the ocean active upper-layer heat content. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 174(7), 2863–2878, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-017-1557-3.
- Byshev, V.I., V.G. Neiman, Yu.A. Romanov, and I.V. Serykh, 2011: Phase variability of some characteristics of the present-day climate in the Northern Atlantic region. Doklady Earth Sciences, 438(2), 887–892, [In Russian].
- Byshev, V.I., V.G. Neiman, Yu.A. Romanov, and I.V. Serykh, 2014: Global’nye atmosfernye oscilljacii v dinamike sovremennogo klimata (Global atmospheric oscillations in the dynamics of modern climate). Sovremennye problemy distancionnogo zondirovanija Zemli iz kosmosa, 11(1), 62–71, [In Russian].
- Byshev, V.I., A.L. Figurkin, and I.M. Anisimov, 2016: Sovremennye klimaticheskie izmenenija termohalinnoj struktury vod SZTO i fluktuacii rybnyh soobshhestv (Modern climate changes in the thermohaline structure of NWPO waters and fluctuations in fish communities). Izv. TINRO, 185, 215–227.
- Eksperiment MEGAPOLIGON. Gidrofizicheskie issledovaniya v severo-zapadnoy chasti Tikhogo okeana. (The MEGALOPOLIGON experiment. Hydrophysical research in the northwestern Pacific Ocean), 1992. Otv. red. Yu.A. Ivanov, Moscow, Nauka, 414 p.
- Gidrofizicheskie issledovaniya po programme MEZOPOLIGON (Hydrophysical studies under the MESOPOLYGON program), 1988. Otv. red. V.G. Kort, Moscow, Nauka, 263 p.
- IPCC. Climate Change 2007. The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of WG1 to the IV Assessment Report of the IPCC. Eds. Solomon S. et al., 2007: Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, Cambridge University Press, 996 p.
- IPCC. Climate Change 2013. The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change. Eds. Stocker T.F., Qin D., Plattner G.-K., Tignor M., Allen S.K., Boschung J., Nauels A., Xia Y., Bex V., Midgley P.M., 2013: Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press, 1535 p.
- Lee, T. and M.J. McPhaden, 2008: Decadal phase change in large-scale sea level and winds in the Indo-Pacific region at the end of the 20-th Century. Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L01605, https://doi.org/10.1029/2007 GL032419j.
- Lyman, J.M., S.A. Good, V.V. Gouretski, M. Ishii, G.C. Johnson, M.D. Palmer, D.M. Smith, and J.K. Willis, 2010: Robust warming of the global upper ocean. Nature, 2010 May 20, 465(7296):334-7, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature09043. PMID: 20485432.
- McCabe, G.J., M.P. Clark, and M.C. Serezze, 2001: Trends in Northern Hemisphere Surface Cyclone Frequency and Intensity. J. Climate, 14, 2763–2768.
- Neiman, V.G., V.I. Byshev, Yu.A. Romanov, and I.V. Serykh, 2018: The global atmosphere oscillations in the context of the recent climate change. In book: The Ocean in Motion. Circulation, Waves, Polar Oceanography. Ser. «Springer Oceanography», Amsterdam, 349–360, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71934-4_22.
- Ponomarev, V.I., D.D. Kaplunenko, H. Ishida, 2001: Centennial and semisentennial Climatic Tendencies in the Asian continental and Pacific marginal areas. Bulletin of Japan Sea Research Institute, 32, 7790.
- Ponomarev, V.I., E.V. Dmitrieva, S.P. Shkorba, and A.A. Karnaukhov, 2018: Izmenenie planetarnogo klimaticheskogo rezhima na rubezhe XX–XXI vekov (Changes in the planetary climate regime at the turn of the XX-XXI centuries). Vestnik MGTU, 21(1), 160–169, https://doi.org/10.21443/1560-9278-2018-21-1-160-169.
- Romanov, Yu.A., V.G. Neiman, V.I. Byshev, I.V. Serykh, D.M. Sonechkin, A.V. Gusev, N.K. Kononova, V.I. Ponomarev, A.N. Sidorova, A.L. Figurkin, and M.V. Anisimov, 2019: Overall assessment of the statistical value and climate role of global atmospheric and oceanic oscillations. Journal of Oceanological Research, 47(2), 76–99, https://doi.org/10.29006/1564-2291.JOR-2019.47(2).6.
- Serykh, I.V. and D.M. Sonechkin, 2020: Interrelations Between Temperature Variations in Oceanic Depths and the Global Atmospheric Oscillation. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 177(12), 5951–5967, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-020-02615-9.
- Serykh, I.V., D.M. Sonechkin, V.I. Byshev, V.G. Neiman, and Y.A. Romanov, 2019: Global Atmospheric Oscillation: An Integrity of ENSO and Extratropical Teleconnections. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 176(8), 3737–3755, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-019-02182-8.
- Serykh, I.V, D.M. Sonechkin., V.I. Byshev, V.G. Neyman, and Yu.A. Romanov, 2018: Global’naya atmosfernaya ostsillyatsiya v troposfere i nizhney stratosfere (Global Atmospheric Oscillation in troposphere and lower stratosphere). Sistemy kontrolya okruzhayushchey sredy (Environmental control systems), 13 (33), 70–78.
- Serykh, I.V., 2017: Sravnenie struktury i dinamiki Global’noy atmosfernoy ostsillyatsii po dannym nablyudeniy, re-analizam i modelyam CMIPS (Dynamics and spatial structure of Global atmospheric oscillation based on observations, re-analyses and CMIP5 models) // CITES 2017. Mezhdunarodnaya molodezhnaya shkola i konferentsiya po vychislitel’no-informatsionnym tekhnologiyam dlya nauk ob okruzhayushchey srede (International Young Scientists School and Conference on Computational Information Technologies for Environmental Sciences), 97–101.
- Yamasaki, S. and K. Nanawa, 2002: Regimes shift found in the Northern Hemisphere SST field. Met. Soc. Japan, 80(1), 119–135.
Transfer of copyrights occurs on the basis of a license agreement between the Author and Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS