DISCREPANCIES OF THE SEAWATER TEMPERATURE BETWEEN BALTIC SEA PHYSICAL REANALYSIS DATA AND IN-SITU MEASUREMENTS OFF THE SHORE OF THE CURONIAN SPIT

Authors

  • E. A. Vasilyeva Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences; Immanuel Kant Baltic Federal University
  • A. V. Kileso Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences; Immanuel Kant Baltic Federal University
  • A. E. Isachenko Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29006/1564-2291.JOR-2025.53(4).1

Keywords:

in-situ measurements, thermistor chain, seawater temperature, reanalysis data, temperature discrepancy, coastal waters, Baltic Sea

Abstract

This study provides new estimates of the discrepancies between the Baltic Sea Physical Reanalysis data and in-situ measurements of seawater temperature in the coastal zone of the Baltic Sea off the Curonian Spit (Kaliningrad region, Russia). The relevance of this assessments driven by the need for reconstruction and analysis of previously occurred extreme events in the coastal zone of the Baltic Sea. Additionally, predictive assessments are required to evaluate the possible impact of extreme weather conditions on the intensification of lithodynamic processes in the coastal zone of the sea using numerical modeling. Quantitative assessments of water temperature discrepancies were obtained by comparing BALTICSEA_REANALYSISPHY_03_011 computational data with instrumental measurements. The latter were obtained by a thermistor chain sensor installed on the D6 platform, which is located approximately 20 km from the shore. The analysis revealed significant discrepancies (up to 6 °C) between the calculated and measured temperatures in the near-surface (5 m), intermediate (13 m), and deep (20 m) layers of coastal waters in 2018. The water density mismatch in October and May 2018 ranged from −0.2 to −0.13 kg/m³ and from 0.025 to 0.25 kg/m³, respectively, with corresponding temperature discrepancies. This can affect the calculated water dynamics. This circumstance is significant in numerical simulation under extreme weather conditions. Therefore, it is difficult to correct the existing Baltic Sea Reanalysis dataset for use in numerical simulations of coastal water dynamics near the Curonian Spit shores.

References


  1. Amantov, A. V., M. G. Amantova, T. V. Bodryakov, V. L. Boldyrev, A. G. Grigir’yev, D. V. Dorokhov, V. A. Zhamoyda, V. A. Zagorodnykh, Yu. P. Kropachev, T. A. Kunayeva, S. M. Liksushchenkov, S. F. Manuylov, A. F. Morozov, B. N. Morozov, P. Ye. Moskalenko, Ye. N. Nesterova, O. V. Petrov, D. V. Ryabchuk, A. Yu. Sergeyev, V. V. Sivkov, M. A. Spiridonov, and V. A. Shakhverdov, 2010: Atlas of geological and ecological-geological maps of the Russian sector of the Baltic Sea. Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment of the Russian Federation, Federal Agency for Subsoil Use, Department of Subsoil Use for the Northwestern Federal District, Federal State Unitary Enterprise “All-Russian Geological Research Institute named after A. P. Karpinsky”. Saint Petersburg, VSEGEI, p. 77, EDN: QKJKBD

  2. Diouf, A., C. O. T. Cissé, R. Almar, B. Sy, B. A. Sy, A. Taveneau, I. Sakho, B. A. Sow, G. A. Ondoa, A. Ndour, K. Ba, E. W. J. Bergsma, and I. Camara, 2025: Urban Beach Evolution in Saint Louis, Senegal (West Africa) using Shore-Based Camera Video Monitoring as a Management Tool. Regional Studies in Marine Science, 83, 104050, EDN: UNCBZ, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsma.2025.104050.

  3. Dutheil, C., H. E. M. Meier, M. Gröger, and F. Börgel, 2023: Warming of Baltic Sea water masses since 1850. Climate Dynamics, 61 (3), 1311–1331, EDN: LJTIGW, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06628-z.

  4. Fedorov, K. N., 1981: On the physical structure of the ocean’s surface layer. Meteorology and hydrology, 10, 58–66.

  5. Fedorov, K. N. and A. I. Ginzburg, 1992: The near-surface layer of the ocean. Utrecht, The Netherlands: VSP, EDN: OSMMYO

  6. Ginzburg, A. I., E. V. Krek, A. G. Kostyanoy, and D. M. Soloviev, 2017: Evolution of the mesoscale anticyclonic eddy and eddy dipoles/multipoles based on it in the South-Eastern Baltic (satellite information: May–July 2015). Journal of oceanological research, 45 (1), 10–22, EDN: VUIPND, https://doi.org/10.29006/1564-2291.JOR-2017.45(1).3.

  7. Hydrometeorological conditions of the shelf zone of the seas of the USSR: Rimsh, Ye. Yа., A. K. Yurkovskiy, and Ye. M. Kostrichkina et al. (Eds.), 1994, Saint Petersburg: Gydrometeoizdat, 3 (2), EDN: WUWSFK

  8. IOC, SCOR and IAPSO: The international thermodynamic equation of seawater – 2010: Calculation and use of thermodynamic properties. Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission, Manuals and Guides. UNESCO (English), 56, https://www.teos-10.org/pubs/TEOS-10_Manual.pdf.

  9. Kapustina, M. V. and A. V. Zimin., 2023: Variability of Upwelling Characteristics in the Southeastern Baltic Sea in the First Two Decades of the 21st Century. Physical Oceanography, 30 (6), 760–775, EDN: NUSAVT

  10. Kileso, A. V., A. N. Demidov, and V. A. Gritsenko, 2020: Orographic factor in the generation of along-slope currents in the south-eastern part of the Baltic Sea. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 5, Geografiya, 3, 100–107, EDN: YQHYOO

  11. Korobchenkova, K. D., A. V. Kileso, and A. E. Kupriyanova, 2025: Latitudinal Factor in the Cooling Process of Coastal Waters in the Eastern Part of the Baltic Sea. Russian Journal of Earth Sciences, 25 (1), ES1012, EDN: OTFDPK, https://doi.org/10.2205/2025ES000984.

  12. Kupriyanova, A. E., V. A. Gritsenko, A. V. Kileso, and K. D. Korobchenkova, 2023: About typical and anomalous modes of sea water cooling in a coastal zone of the Curonian spit. Journal of Hydrometeorology and Ecology, 73, 666–683, EDN: AELODE, https://doi.org/10.33933/2713-3001-2023-73-666-683.

  13. Lavrova, O. Yu., A. G. Kostyanoy, S. A. Lebedev, M. I. Mityagina, A. I. Ginzburg, and N. A. Sheremet, 2011: Integrated satellite monitoring of the seas of Russia. Moscow: Space Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences, EDN: ONVFUJ

  14. Leppäranta, M. and K. Myrberg, 2009: Physical oceanography of the Baltic Sea. Springer Science & Business Media, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-79703-6.

  15. Liibusk, A., T. Kall, S. Rikka, R. Uiboupin, Ü. Suursaar, and K. H. Tseng, 2020: Validation of Copernicus Sea Level Altimetry Products in the Baltic Sea and Estonian Lakes. Remote Sensing, 12 (24), 4062, EDN: ISMMPU, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12244062.

  16. Liu, Y., L. Axell, S. Jandt, I. Lorkowski, A. Lindenthal, S. Verjovkina, and F. Schwichtenberg, 2019: Baltic Sea Production Centre BALTICSEA_REANALYSIS_PHY_003_011. Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service, p. 35,  https://doi.org/10.48670/moi-00013.

  17. Myslenkov, S. A., V. A. Krechik, and D. M. Soloviev, 2017a: Water temperature analysis in the coastal zone of the Baltic Sea based on thermistor chain observations and satellite data. Proceedings of the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, 364, 159–169, EDN: YRYHXT

  18. Myslenkov, S. A., V. A. Krechik, and A. V. Bondar, 2017b: Daily and seasonal water temperature changes in the coastal zone of the Baltic Sea measured by thermistor chain. Ecological systems and devices, 5, 25–33, EDN: YUSMLT

  19. Singh, S., I. Maljutenko, and R. Uiboupin, 2024: Sea ice in the Baltic Sea during 1993/94–2020/21 ice seasons from satellite observations and model reanalysis. EGUsphere, [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1701.

  20. Stepanova, N. and A. Mizyuk, 2022: On the Applicability of CMEMS Reanalysis Data for Investigation of the Cold Intermediate Layer in the South-Eastern Part of the Baltic Sea. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 179 (9), 3481–3492, EDN: MQRYWT, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-022-03130-9.

  21. The Baltic Sea in the Present and the Future – Climate Change and Anthropogenic Impact. Eremina, T. R. (Ed.), 2016: Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Saint-Petersburg, LEMA, ISBN 978-5-00105-102-2, EDN: XZGNKN

  22. Wattimena, M. C. and G. G. Salamena, 2025: Interannual deep-water renewal in the tropical fjord of Kao Bay of Halmahera Island, eastern Indonesia, linked to ocean dynamics in western equatorial Pacific. Regional Studies in Marine Science, 81, 103953, EDN: SCDCQS, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsma.2024.103953.

  23. Zakharchuk, E. A., V. N. Sukhachev, N. A. Tikhonova, and E. N. Litina, 2023: Steric Oscillations of the Baltic Sea Level. Russian Journal of Earth Sciences, 23 (4), 1–23, EDN: TLODEE, https://doi.org/10.2205/2023ES000846.

  24. Zakharchuk, E. A., M. V. Vinogradov, V. N. Sukhachev, N. A. Tikhonova, V. S. Travkin, and M. Iu. Uleysky, 2024: Peculiarities of variability of the thermohaline structure and dynamics of the Baltic Sea waters during the appearance and distribution of the Major Baltic Inflow in December 2014. Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Earth Sciences, 69 (4), 734–763, EDN: JWDZSZ, https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu07.2024.407.

  25. Zhurbas, V., I. S. Oh, and T. Park, 2006: Formation and decay of a longshore baroclinic jet associated with transient coastal upwelling and downwelling: A numerical study with applications to the Baltic Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 111, C4, EDN: LQBPPX, https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JC003079https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JC003079">https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JC003079.

Published

2025-12-21

Issue

Section

Ocean physics and climate

Most read articles by the same author(s)